A Great Economic Indicator: The Family
Over twenty years ago, expert demographers predicted a fall in the stock market in late 2009. The fall happened a little earlier in 2009 than the experts predicted, but it did happen. These demographers, in the course of their work, stumbled upon a fascinating long-term indicator for the stock market—birth rates. A chance comparison of the long-term S&P 500, the premier stock market indicator and U.S. birth rates revealed an eerie similarity.
Here’s how it works. Spending drives the economy, and the baby boomer’s lifetime spending peaks at about 45-50 years old. The stock market peaks when the baby boomers’ spending peaks. The problem is the baby boomer generation is reaching that age right about now, and there’s no subsequent generation large enough to replace them.
But there’s more to this story, and it goes deeper than the stock market, as the documentary DVD, Demographic Winter, The Decline of the Human Family, clearly shows. For instance, in order for a population to survive it must at least meet the fertility replacement level of 2.1. That means the average woman needs to have at least 2.1 children over her lifetime in order to, at a minimum, replace the current population of any society.
Anything below 2.1 indicates population decline. Anything over 2.1 indicates population growth. Currently, the U.S. is at 2.01, which is just below replacement level. The overall European fertility rate, however, is between 1.53 and 1.55.
In Wisconsin and the United States we’re fast approachig an aging population, where the majority of the population is now or soon will be in retirement, on pensions and government subsidies. There are not enough young people in the workforce or coming into the workforce to support the aging population, especially considering the exponentially increasing costs of Medicare and Social Security.
Demographers and economists point to several reasons for this: the sexual revolution, the divorce revolution, prosperity, more women in the workforce during childbearing years and widespread inaccurate assumptions about overpopulation.
Each of these different factors has chipped away at and continues to chip away at the traditional view of marriage and family and children. And who suffers? The children. Our children, the few we are still having, will bear the burden of supporting an aging population that has tried in every way conceivable to not conceive and to destroy the preborn they do conceive.
Incredibly, those families that can afford to have more children are not and those families that cannot afford to have more children are. Lower-income and single-mother families are having more children where, we know from a plethora of social science evidence, children are at a distinct disadvantage developmentally, socially, emotionally and certainly economically.
So, not only will our children bear the burden of our infertility, they will do so without the nurturing of the traditional family. What’s to be done? The solution offered by a group of billionaires is most definitely not the answer.
The billionaires, including the likes of Bill Gates, George Soros and Oprah Winfrey decided several years ago to pour their billions into what I call a “class cleansing” effort. They are worried there are too many poor people in the world, particularly in developing countries, so they’re going to engage in “population control efforts,” which is just a euphemism for abortion, birth control, and other nefarious acts. The cold-hearted strategy and arrogance of the plan is astounding! They don’t want to have to deal with the poor so they plot to get rid of their children.
No, the real solution, as European policymakers have discovered almost too late, is to strengthen the family, particularly among the poor where the gold standard for families—a married father and mother raising their children together—is sadly and tragically lacking.
Families are the economic and social bedrock of a society and definitely of our state. They bring the next generation into the world, raise the incoming workforce in their homes, buy houses and consume products and create a nurturing environment for children—the future leaders of our state and our country. For the sake of the future of our nation we must welcome children and invest in them by strengthening the family.
That begins with moms and dads determining to stay married, with churches being willing to champion marriage, and with government promoting traditional marriage and families with solid policies. Demographers get the importance of my oft-repeated phrase, as the family, so the state. The question is, do the rest of us?
VIEW Wisconsin Family Council’s brand new publication “Wisconsin’s Cultural Indicators, 2014 Edition: by clicking HERE.
Early election voting has begun at city clerks’ offices
across the state of Wisconsin.
Click HERE for general voter information and to see if you have a primary on your ballot.
- HOW DO YOU KNOW WHO TO VOTE FOR?
- WHO ARE THE CANDIDATES?
- HOW HAVE INCUMBENTS VOTED IN THE PAST?
RIGHT AT YOUR FINGERTIPS!
****BE INFORMED! Click HERE for our NEW Wisconsin Voter Guide! ****
Vote wisely by choosing candidates who:
- Best align with your values
- Have a reasonable chance of winning, as evidenced by endorsements, donations, yard signs, phone calls, etc.
What’s behind the polished speeches
and promises to make our lives better?
>>>>>Click HERE to watch a video that explains how YOU can affect change in Wisconsin, and in Washington, with your VOTE.
Less than 20% of voters actually vote in the PRIMARY elections in their state, yet did you know…
- primaries determine the election?
- in low-voter-turnout elections, your vote matters more than ever?
That’s less than 3 weeks away! How do you know who to vote for? Who are the candidates? How have incumbents voted in the past?
The Wisconsin Voter Guide is a combination of:
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Each candidate is evaluated by a panel of volunteers, people like you, who are dedicated to helping others vote wisely.
Click HERE for general voter information and to see if you have a primary on your ballot.
HOW YOU CAN HELP:
- Access the Voter Guide TODAY. Take a close look. If you want, print off your local races and be prepared for the Wisconsin Primary Election on August 12!
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This week, President Obama signed an executive order that will force federal employers to hire homosexuals, bisexuals, transgenders against their religious tenets and excludes religious exemption.
WFA president Julaine Appling responds, “So this man who would be king once again takes matters into his own hands and tramples on the constitution. This time our religious freedom is very much at stake. Our founders called religious liberty “the first freedom” because it is foundational to our other freedoms. Christians should be alarmed and on high alert. Churches and Christian ministries are in the crosshairs.”
>>>>>Julaine was a guest on Q90FM’s Stand Up for the Truth program this week to discuss this issue. Listen to the podcast HERE.
The story could be repeated countless times. Cindy—not her real name—was born to a single mom in Milwaukee; no father in her life. Her mom could have chosen abortion; fortunately she made the right choice and chose life. Mom struggled to make ends meet but was dealing with her own issues in addition to rearing a child by herself. Her grandmother became the strongest and most reliable influence in Cindy’s life—taking her to church, praying with her, in general being there for her. Eventually Cindy wound up in the foster care system and experienced some pretty rough knocks in her teen years and early twenties. Life was rough. She saw a lot of the seamy side of it.
It took some time, but by God’s grace, Cindy was spared some of the worst things that can happen as a result of an upbringing such as hers. She got a college education, found a good job, and took on adult responsibilities. In a recent conversation with her, Cindy said in a completely unsolicited comment, “You know, I think if I had had a father in my life, things would have been different.”
Cindy knows, intuitively or otherwise, that being born to a single mom with no father around put her in a dangerous situation and at a distinct disadvantage to actually grow up and thrive. Today, nearly 40% of babies born in Wisconsin are born to single mothers. In Milwaukee, that number skyrockets to over 80%.
Cindy happens to be biracial but really her race is immaterial. Family matters regardless of one’s race. Children of any race or ethnicity do better when they are brought up by their married moms and dads. Thousands of research studies confirm this. Experience confirms it. But yet we pay little to no attention to this incredible truth.
Our state legislature still is unwilling to grapple with this situation in any kind of meaningful way. Unwed childbirth and divorce, which is nearly as harmful to children as being born to a single mom, cost our state over $737 million each year. I hear every day from sitting officials and candidates that the only issue worth talking about and the only one anyone is interested in is the economy and jobs. Well, how about we deal in some significant way with that $737 million number? How about weaning women off taxpayer-funded handouts that encourage them to keep having children without being married to the father of their children?
How about providing real incentives for men to marry the mothers of their children and to be around for the children they bring into being? How about modifying our divorce laws so that couples with minor children, in marriages where adultery, abuse, and abandonment are absent, are required to attend classes that show the effect of divorce on their children and extending the waiting period before such a divorce is finalized?
How about honestly and aggressively promoting marriage by championing it instead of dismissing it or worse redefining it to ensure that legally some children will never have both a mother and a father?
After all, judges keep telling us that all children need is people who “love” them and provide for them—whatever that may mean to any particular judge. Federal judges around the country have determined they know better than the experts in this area and have decreed children don’t need both their mother and father—they just need people…two men or two women—it’s all the same. Two men or two women can give a child everything he or she needs to grow up to be well-adjusted, healthy, productive, contributing citizens. If nothing else, that’s a denial of reality.
And then there’s the president who campaigned saying he believed marriage is between one man and one woman, and early in his presidency made a point of saying how important fathers are in the lives of their children. Fast forward several years, and we finally get the truth from this man who would be king: he really believes marriage should be redefined to include at the very least two men and two women because, don’t you know, they are in loving and committed relationships—whatever that may mean. By promoting this marriage de-construction, the president was also essentially saying gender and inborn gender differences are meaningless and that fathers really aren’t all that important.
Cindy would not agree. She knows, from very real personal experience, that her life would have likely been considerably different—and much better—if she had had a father involved in her life. And by the way, God, the creator of male and female and the One Who instituted marriage, doesn’t agree either.
For all the Cindys in Wisconsin, we need to get serious about this marriage thing. Mothers and fathers—men and women–really do matter to children. Woe to Wisconsin if we keep ignoring both research and reality.
(Part 3 in a 3-part Series)
Are you parenting with purpose and intention or are you just kind of winging it and trying to survive each day, hoping that somehow your children will grow up with strong character and a sincere desire to know, love and serve the Lord? Are you parenting for today or for eternity?